The South Carolina primary is wrapping up and it appears that Barack Obama has scored a pretty convincing win over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. Estimated score? Obama 57%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 13%. The win ended a week in which Obama and Clinton were feuding rather openly, and in which Bill Clinton was ruffling many feathers with his attack dog act on his wife's behalf.
But the main question, in my view, is "what next?" South Carolina's turnout was about half African-American. About all we have learned from this Obama win is that the talk of Bill Clinton being the first Black president (and some of the glory rubbing off on his wife?) can be trumped pretty well by an actual black candidate who would actually stand to become the first black president.
On to Super Tuesday. Do the voters stand to punish Clinton for signing up her husband as enforcer? Or do they stand to pick on Obama for his preceived lack of experience? Your guess is as good as mine. My prediction is more excitement. Details? Well, I think that Edwards now has no chance, and wonder when he will face it. I also expect Giuliani to soon give up the ghost. I think that McCain is the one to beat on the Republican side, and hope that Romney will soon be seen by all (instead of just many) as a hopeless opportunist.
Ultimately, the primary campaigns are too important to be enjoyable- excitement is something to fight against. The possibility of fatal error- nominating weaker candidates- is too frightening.